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Monday, November 11, 2013

Managing a portfolio of 500+ stocks - The Process

Dear all,

How do you manage a portfolio of 500+ stocks?

I think this question came out quite often during my conversation with many people out there and also comments on my blog postings. Therefore, I have decided to write this blog entry to response to some of the queries out there.

Previously as a Test Development Engineer, I was required to run more than 3000+ regression test cases for my product across various platforms. Nobody asked me how I managed to do so and I was surprised that many people felt that having 500+ stocks is one too many. Imagine running 3000+ test cases!

I had actually posted some of the commonly asked questions on my portfolio in this blog entry entitled - "Questions, Questions, Questions......" a few years ago. For those readers who might miss out the last time round, you can refer to the link below for reference:
http://ghchua.blogspot.sg/2007/02/questions-questions-questions.html

Of course, there had been a slight change in my strategy since 2007. Previously, I just diversified across a whole basket of stocks and let the market decide which are the ones that would appear as my top holdings. Since I turned full-time, I have adopted a slightly different strategy of overweighting my better ideas.

There is no secret in managing a portfolio of 500+ stocks. Just like running 3000+ test cases, you need to have a process in place. One of the most important concept to me is partitioning. Partition means breaking up your stocks into categories. Another word for this is called grouping. Basically, as an example, I partitioned my stocks into 3 major categories:

1. One group which require close monitoring
2. One group which you can monitor once in a while
3. One group which you do not need to monitor at all.

So, there you have it! Your stocks are now fall in place in one of these categories. Basically, you can ignore stocks in 3. as these are mostly ones that are insignificant in terms of weightage of your portfolio as they are "bombed out" stocks. Stocks in 2. have potential but you really do not need to look at them at all times as they are mostly in the middle part of your portfolio, whereby it is not so significant. Your core holdings in 1. which you need to look closely at, and most possibly need to add onto them every now and then.

You can of course have your own grouping methodology and you do not need to follow my example. What I want to show here in the above example is that having a process in place is more important than the number of stocks in your portfolio. Because if you have a process and you manage your portfolio based on your process as a guideline, everything will fall in place nicely and you won't get off-track easily even if you have a list of 500+ stocks.

In my previous life as a Test Development Engineer, I focused mainly on those problematic test cases that always fail on the first run. If you have a portfolio of 500+ stocks, you should focus on those that matters most to you in terms of portfolio weightage.

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Friday, November 01, 2013

My Investment Portfolio (October 2013)

STI closed at around 3210 points by the end of October 2013. Although it seems that STI had gained some ground this month as the US government shutdown issue had been deferred further, it is really a bad month for retail investors in Singapore. This is because of the meltdown of the penny stock segment of the market, mainly due to the trading curbs imposed by broking firms on the now infamous trio of designated counters. Chaos were witnessed by me personally at the cashier of a broking house, where investors have to queue to place cash upfront in order to buy those designated stocks. Contra losses were aplenty, with punters trying their luck again at these speculative counters even after their designated status were lifted. It had been an eye opening experience for me indeed as a full-time investor.

For this month, I have attended the following AGMs/EGMs/briefings - VARD Holdings, Cacola, Oxley, CH Offshore, Hai Leck, ASL Marine, Boardroom, K1 Ventures, China Yuanbang, Spindex, Chosen, Micro-Mechanics, GRP, Westminster Travel, Goodpack and FJ Benjamin.

For my top 30 holdings, Sarin Technologies is now my top holding after its good share price performance this month. Other major movers include UIS (which majority shareholder UOB and related parties wanted to initiate an EGM to liquidate the closed end fund), Superbowl (which Hiap Hoe is making a general offer to acquire the company) and Hiap Hoe (re-entered my top 30 holdings list after they made a general offer to acquire Superbowl, subjected to approval by shareholders of the company).

I have bought the following companies from the market this month - Chosen, GP Batteries, Hoe Leong, IFS, LC Developments, Lion AsiaPac, Singapore Reinsurance, Tat Seng and Zagro Asia. There is no sale done this month.

I have accepted the following voluntary delisting/cash offers this month - Armstrong and Superior Multi-Packaging. I have also participated in the following scrip dividend scheme - Freight Links.

I have subscribed to the following rights issues - Grand Banks, ISDN and Xpress.

November 2013 is expected to be a quiet month for me, except for a few EGMs and AGMs for companies with financial year ending July/August 2013. I will seek to re-invest some of those proceeds from Armstrong and Superior Multi-Packaging delisting. I will also attempt to take a closer look at my portfolio and catch up with some readings of investment books and periodicals.

My S'pore Stock Portfolio - Top Holdings, cash investment only (correct as at 31 October 2013)

Top 30 Holdings (Sing$ Denominated shares)
1. Sarin Technologies 
2. United Engineers
3. Bukit Sembawang Estates
4. Jardine C&C
5. UIS
6. Superbowl
7. Metro Holdings
8. SGX
9. F&N
10. A-REIT
11. Haw Par
12. Aspial
13. Bonvests
14. Sing Investment & Finance
15. Old Chang Kee
16. OSIM International
17. SembCorp Marine
18. CapitaMall Trust 
19. Far East Orchard
20. Hotel Grand Central
21. Noble Group 
22. Hiap Hoe
23. The Hour Glass
24. Singapura Finance  
25. Hong Fok
26. Low Keng Huat 
27. Hong Leong Finance
28. MTQ Corp
29. Hotel Royal
30. GK Goh

Top 5 Holdings (US$ Denominated shares)
1. Jardine Strategic
2. Dairy Farm
3. Hong Kong Land
4. Jardine Matheson
5. Mandarin Oriental

Top Holdings (HK$ Denominated shares)
1. Fortune REIT
2. Tan Chong International

Top Holdings (Aust$ Denominated shares)
1. AV Jennings

Top 5 Holdings (CPF OA investment)
1. Keppel Corp
2. Streettracks STI ETF
3. CapitaMall Trust
4. A-REIT
5. Challenger Technologies

My Hong Kong Stock Portfolio
1. Peace Mark Holdings - Under Voluntary Liquidation

My Australia Stock Portfolio
1. GPS Alliance Holdings Limited

My Unlisted Company Portfolio
1. Automated Touchstone Machines Ltd
2. Iconic Global Limited
3. Greatronic Limited
4. General Magnetics
5. Fastech Synergy
6. Beauty China- Under Liquidation
7. Memory Devices
8. Jurong Tech - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
9. FM Holdings
10. Japan Land - In liquidation - Members' voluntary winding up
11. Zhonghui - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
12. FerroChina - Under Liquidation
13. FirstLink Investments
14. NEL Group
15. KXD Digital Entertainment - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
16. Shanghai Asia Holdings - In liquidation - Members' voluntary winding up
17. Jets Technics

My Unit Trust Portfolio:
http://www.fundsupermart.com/main/community/Portfolio_View.svdo?id=P199

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A self-directed investor, looking to invest for retirement needs and bypass all those expensive financial planners/insurance agents. Investing is fun, profitable or most important of all, knowledge gained is useful for the rest of your life!

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